What is the expected value of a Foundations Play Booster Box?

The current expected value of opening a Foundations Play Booster Box is $236.76, compared to a retail price of $130. This gives an EV ratio of 1.82x.

Is the Foundations Play Booster Box worth opening?

Based on current card prices, opening this box has a positive expected value of +$106.76.

Foundations Play Booster Box

1.82x

EV $236.76MSRP $130+$106.76

Foundations

Foundations Play Booster Box

1.82x

Worth Opening

EV Ratio

Box EV

$236.76

Retail

$130

P/L

+$106.76

Packs

Scryfall/TCGPlayer · 4/7/2026

EV by Slot

Slot	Per-Pack	Box Total	Share
Rare / Mythic	$1.94	$69.68	29%
Wildcard	$0.71	$25.60	11%
Foil (any rarity)	$3.93	$141.48	60%
Total		$236.76	100%

Top 10 Chase Cards

Bloodthirsty Conqueror

$44.52

+$3.01 EV

Bloodthirsty Conqueror

$42.92

+$2.90 EV

Twinflame Tyrant

$39.58

+$2.67 EV

Twinflame Tyrant

mythic~0.07/box

$30.81

+$2.08

Mossborn Hydra

rare~0.18/box

$20.84

+$3.69

Mossborn Hydra

rare~0.18/box

$18.63

+$3.30

Rise of the Dark Realms

mythic~0.07/box

$18.07

+$1.22

High Fae Trickster

rare~0.18/box

$17.69

+$3.13

High Fae Trickster

rare~0.18/box

$17.50

+$3.10

Liliana, Dreadhorde General

mythic~0.07/box

$16.09

+$1.09

All Rares & Mythics

Name	Rarity	Price	Foil	/Box
Bloodthirsty Conqueror	mythic	$44.52	$49.13	0.07
Bloodthirsty Conqueror	mythic	$42.92	$41.79	0.07
Twinflame Tyrant	mythic	$39.58	$56.49	0.07
Twinflame Tyrant	mythic	$30.81	$37.34	0.07
Mossborn Hydra	rare	$20.84	$31.18	0.18
Mossborn Hydra	rare	$18.63	$19.75	0.18
Rise of the Dark Realms	mythic	$18.07	$31.24	0.07
High Fae Trickster	rare	$17.69	$39.66	0.18
High Fae Trickster	rare	$17.50	$22.53	0.18
Liliana, Dreadhorde General	mythic	$16.09	$27.37	0.07
Niv-Mizzet, Visionary	mythic	$13.81	$26.34	0.07
Scrawling Crawler	rare	$12.02	$18.35	0.18
Lathril, Blade of the Elves	rare	$10.86	$37.97	0.18
Scrawling Crawler	rare	$9.88	$9.68	0.18
Niv-Mizzet, Visionary	mythic	$9.87	$9.45	0.07
Omniscience	mythic	$9.67	$15.29	0.07
Banner of Kinship	rare	$9.66	$14.04	0.18
Banner of Kinship	rare	$9.48	$12.07	0.18
Phyrexian Arena	rare	$7.31	$12.46	0.18
Aurelia, the Warleader	mythic	$7.25	—	0.07
Etali, Primal Storm	rare	$7.09	$19.21	0.18
Blasphemous Edict	rare	$6.85	$12.08	0.18
Blasphemous Edict	rare	$6.82	$7.48	0.18
Nine-Lives Familiar	rare	$6.35	$8.98	0.18
Loot, Exuberant Explorer	rare	$6.35	$11.33	0.18
Quilled Greatwurm	mythic	$6.26	$7.70	0.07
Rite of the Dragoncaller	mythic	$5.33	$8.60	0.07
Rite of the Dragoncaller	mythic	$5.27	$4.28	0.07
Kaito, Cunning Infiltrator	mythic	$4.86	$6.90	0.07
Quilled Greatwurm	mythic	$4.65	$6.24	0.07
Tinybones, Bauble Burglar	rare	$4.42	$10.69	0.18
Ghalta, Primal Hunger	rare	$4.28	$8.79	0.18
Dropkick Bomber	rare	$4.16	—	0.18
Loot, Exuberant Explorer	rare	$4.07	$6.42	0.18
Leyline Axe	rare	$3.97	$8.68	0.18
Exemplar of Light	rare	$3.91	$4.60	0.18
Archmage of Runes	rare	$3.66	$5.22	0.18
Leyline Axe	rare	$3.63	$3.45	0.18
Death Baron	rare	$3.61	—	0.18
Crystal Barricade	rare	$3.59	$2.62	0.18
Alesha, Who Laughs at Fate	rare	$3.55	$6.67	0.18
Valkyrie's Call	mythic	$3.45	$6.40	0.07
Basilisk Collar	rare	$3.25	—	0.18
Zul Ashur, Lich Lord	rare	$3.10	$9.02	0.18
Archmage of Runes	rare	$3.04	$4.85	0.18
Koma, World-Eater	rare	$3.02	$8.47	0.18
Nine-Lives Familiar	rare	$2.99	$3.85	0.18
Soulstone Sanctuary	rare	$2.88	$4.72	0.18
Zimone, Paradox Sculptor	mythic	$2.73	$4.48	0.07
Chandra, Flameshaper	mythic	$2.70	$7.28	0.07
Alesha, Who Laughs at Fate	rare	$2.51	$3.75	0.18
Herald of Eternal Dawn	mythic	$2.49	$2.86	0.07
Ajani, Caller of the Pride	mythic	$2.42	$4.30	0.07
Zimone, Paradox Sculptor	mythic	$2.36	$2.61	0.07
Wishclaw Talisman	rare	$2.07	—	0.18
Soulstone Sanctuary	rare	$2.05	$6.11	0.18
Genesis Wave	rare	$1.87	$4.78	0.18
Vivien Reid	mythic	$1.84	$4.57	0.07
Tinybones, Bauble Burglar	rare	$1.77	$2.82	0.18
Valkyrie's Call	mythic	$1.76	$2.31	0.07
Electroduplicate	rare	$1.53	$4.61	0.18
Kiora, the Rising Tide	rare	$1.52	$4.10	0.18
Searslicer Goblin	rare	$1.45	$2.97	0.18
Felidar Retreat	rare	$1.45	—	0.18
Arahbo, the First Fang	rare	$1.38	$1.54	0.18
Zul Ashur, Lich Lord	rare	$1.30	$2.02	0.18
Spinner of Souls	rare	$1.29	$1.11	0.18
Electroduplicate	rare	$1.23	$1.41	0.18
Elenda, Saint of Dusk	rare	$1.20	$3.18	0.18
Terror of Mount Velus	rare	$1.20	—	0.18
Spinner of Souls	rare	$1.06	$2.41	0.18
Koma, World-Eater	rare	$1.06	$1.88	0.18
Abyssal Harvester	rare	$1.01	$2.08	0.18
Darksteel Colossus	mythic	$0.99	—	0.07
Searslicer Goblin	rare	$0.98	$2.29	0.18
Kiora, the Rising Tide	rare	$0.97	$1.24	0.18
Preposterous Proportions	rare	$0.95	$1.72	0.18
Celestial Armor	rare	$0.91	$1.80	0.18
Preposterous Proportions	rare	$0.88	$1.81	0.18
Raise the Past	rare	$0.88	$2.12	0.18
Sphinx of Forgotten Lore	mythic	$0.85	$2.37	0.07
Taurean Mauler	rare	$0.82	—	0.18
Abyssal Harvester	rare	$0.78	$1.05	0.18
Skyknight Squire	rare	$0.77	$1.52	0.18
Homunculus Horde	rare	$0.77	$2.83	0.18
Drake Hatcher	rare	$0.76	$0.87	0.18
Sphinx of Forgotten Lore	mythic	$0.73	$0.87	0.07
Skyknight Squire	rare	$0.66	$0.79	0.18
Homunculus Horde	rare	$0.65	$2.54	0.18
Kykar, Zephyr Awakener	rare	$0.63	$1.86	0.18
Angelic Destiny	mythic	$0.60	—	0.07
Ancestor Dragon	rare	$0.53	—	0.18
Pyromancer's Goggles	mythic	$0.53	—	0.07
Ramos, Dragon Engine	mythic	$0.53	—	0.07
Charming Prince	rare	$0.51	—	0.18
High-Society Hunter	rare	$0.48	$1.29	0.18
Sylvan Scavenging	rare	$0.48	$0.70	0.18
High-Society Hunter	rare	$0.47	$0.93	0.18
Elenda, Saint of Dusk	rare	$0.47	$0.71	0.18
Lathliss, Dragon Queen	rare	$0.46	—	0.18
Aggressive Mammoth	rare	$0.44	—	0.18
Halana and Alena, Partners	rare	$0.44	—	0.18
Sylvan Scavenging	rare	$0.43	$0.38	0.18
Dictate of Kruphix	rare	$0.42	—	0.18
Vizier of the Menagerie	mythic	$0.42	—	0.07
Kykar, Zephyr Awakener	rare	$0.41	$0.76	0.18
Regal Caracal	rare	$0.41	—	0.18
Anthem of Champions	rare	$0.40	$0.59	0.18
Primeval Bounty	mythic	$0.39	—	0.07
Sphinx of the Final Word	mythic	$0.38	—	0.07
Lunar Insight	rare	$0.37	$0.52	0.18
Demonic Pact	mythic	$0.37	—	0.07
Kellan, Planar Trailblazer	rare	$0.36	$1.34	0.18
Lunar Insight	rare	$0.35	$0.74	0.18
Ashroot Animist	rare	$0.34	$0.46	0.18
Drake Hatcher	rare	$0.34	$0.50	0.18
Finale of Revelation	mythic	$0.34	—	0.07
River's Rebuke	rare	$0.34	—	0.18
Dragonmaster Outcast	mythic	$0.33	—	0.07
Rampaging Baloths	rare	$0.33	—	0.18
Drogskol Reaver	rare	$0.33	—	0.18
Curator of Destinies	rare	$0.28	$0.45	0.18
Kellan, Planar Trailblazer	rare	$0.28	$0.35	0.18
Anthem of Champions	rare	$0.28	$0.49	0.18
Crossway Troublemakers	rare	$0.27	—	0.18
Linden, the Steadfast Queen	rare	$0.26	—	0.18
Midnight Reaper	rare	$0.26	—	0.18
Predator Ooze	rare	$0.26	—	0.18
Jazal Goldmane	rare	$0.24	—	0.18
Corsair Captain	rare	$0.24	—	0.18
Immersturm Predator	rare	$0.24	—	0.18
Ashroot Animist	rare	$0.23	$0.35	0.18
Fumigate	rare	$0.22	—	0.18
Zetalpa, Primal Dawn	rare	$0.22	—	0.18
Arcanis the Omnipotent	rare	$0.22	—	0.18
Kalastria Highborn	rare	$0.22	—	0.18
Ball Lightning	rare	$0.22	—	0.18
Prime Speaker Zegana	rare	$0.22	—	0.18
Curator of Destinies	rare	$0.21	$0.23	0.18
Temple of Deceit	rare	$0.21	—	0.18
Ayli, Eternal Pilgrim	rare	$0.20	—	0.18
Mystic Archaeologist	rare	$0.19	—	0.18
Desecration Demon	rare	$0.19	—	0.18
Harmless Offering	rare	$0.19	—	0.18
Wildborn Preserver	rare	$0.19	—	0.18
Nullpriest of Oblivion	rare	$0.18	—	0.18
Mazemind Tome	rare	$0.18	—	0.18
Myojin of Night's Reach	rare	$0.17	—	0.18
Maelstrom Pulse	rare	$0.17	—	0.18
Temple of Epiphany	rare	$0.17	—	0.18
Harbinger of the Tides	rare	$0.16	—	0.18
Dread Summons	rare	$0.16	—	0.18
Primal Might	rare	$0.16	—	0.18
Wilt-Leaf Liege	rare	$0.16	—	0.18
Cultivator's Caravan	rare	$0.16	—	0.18
Tempest Djinn	rare	$0.15	—	0.18
Redcap Gutter-Dweller	rare	$0.15	—	0.18
Surrak, the Hunt Caller	rare	$0.15	—	0.18
Crawling Barrens	rare	$0.15	—	0.18
Temple of Enlightenment	rare	$0.15	—	0.18
Temple of Malady	rare	$0.15	—	0.18
Mentor of the Meek	rare	$0.14	—	0.18
Heroes' Bane	rare	$0.14	—	0.18
Ovika, Enigma Goliath	rare	$0.14	—	0.18
Steel Hellkite	rare	$0.14	—	0.18
Temple of Abandon	rare	$0.14	—	0.18
Voracious Greatshark	rare	$0.13	—	0.18
Stromkirk Noble	rare	$0.12	—	0.18
Sire of Seven Deaths	mythic	—	$172.37	0.07
Arahbo, the First Fang	rare	—	$22.36	0.18
Celestial Armor	rare	—	$18.43	0.18
Crystal Barricade	rare	—	$20.41	0.18
Exemplar of Light	rare	—	$37.08	0.18
Giada, Font of Hope	rare	—	$68.72	0.18
Herald of Eternal Dawn	mythic	—	$34.44	0.07
Raise the Past	rare	—	$14.58	0.18
Skyknight Squire	rare	—	$6.84	0.18
Valkyrie's Call	mythic	—	$24.64	0.07
Archmage of Runes	rare	—	$20.49	0.18
Curator of Destinies	rare	—	$5.50	0.18
Drake Hatcher	rare	—	$7.41	0.18
High Fae Trickster	rare	—	$113.59	0.18
Homunculus Horde	rare	—	$8.89	0.18
Kiora, the Rising Tide	rare	—	$17.85	0.18
Lunar Insight	rare	—	$9.24	0.18
Omniscience	mythic	—	$42.78	0.07
Sphinx of Forgotten Lore	mythic	—	$12.34	0.07
Abyssal Harvester	rare	—	$10.40	0.18
Blasphemous Edict	rare	—	$30.32	0.18
Bloodthirsty Conqueror	mythic	—	$78.06	0.07
High-Society Hunter	rare	—	$9.83	0.18
Nine-Lives Familiar	rare	—	$45.81	0.18
Phyrexian Arena	rare	—	$35.48	0.18
Rise of the Dark Realms	mythic	—	$86.20	0.07
Tinybones, Bauble Burglar	rare	—	$55.72	0.18
Zul Ashur, Lich Lord	rare	—	$27.76	0.18
Electroduplicate	rare	—	$26.52	0.18
Etali, Primal Storm	rare	—	$36.17	0.18
Kellan, Planar Trailblazer	rare	—	$5.33	0.18
Rite of the Dragoncaller	mythic	—	$30.10	0.07
Searslicer Goblin	rare	—	$12.78	0.18
Twinflame Tyrant	mythic	—	$103.10	0.07
Genesis Wave	rare	—	$20.36	0.18
Ghalta, Primal Hunger	rare	—	$45.20	0.18
Loot, Exuberant Explorer	rare	—	$48.16	0.18
Mossborn Hydra	rare	—	$78.02	0.18
Preposterous Proportions	rare	—	$10.64	0.18
Quilled Greatwurm	mythic	—	$27.14	0.07
Spinner of Souls	rare	—	$16.65	0.18
Sylvan Scavenging	rare	—	$8.06	0.18
Alesha, Who Laughs at Fate	rare	—	$23.75	0.18
Anthem of Champions	rare	—	$5.63	0.18
Ashroot Animist	rare	—	$5.44	0.18
Elenda, Saint of Dusk	rare	—	$16.16	0.18
Koma, World-Eater	rare	—	$31.53	0.18
Kykar, Zephyr Awakener	rare	—	$12.05	0.18
Lathril, Blade of the Elves	rare	—	$96.73	0.18
Niv-Mizzet, Visionary	mythic	—	$88.22	0.07
Zimone, Paradox Sculptor	mythic	—	$24.00	0.07
Banner of Kinship	rare	—	$46.23	0.18
Leyline Axe	rare	—	$35.01	0.18
Scrawling Crawler	rare	—	$56.35	0.18
Soulstone Sanctuary	rare	—	$25.52	0.18
Ajani, Caller of the Pride	mythic	—	$22.39	0.07
Kaito, Cunning Infiltrator	mythic	—	$18.57	0.07
Liliana, Dreadhorde General	mythic	—	$79.08	0.07
Chandra, Flameshaper	mythic	—	$31.43	0.07
Vivien Reid	mythic	—	$18.28	0.07
Day of Judgment	mythic	—	$18.23	0.07
Herald of Eternal Dawn	mythic	—	$43.84	0.07
Kaito, Cunning Infiltrator	mythic	—	$13.37	0.07
Think Twice	mythic	—	$19.51	0.07
Bloodthirsty Conqueror	mythic	—	$113.27	0.07
Twinflame Tyrant	mythic	—	$120.83	0.07
Doubling Season	mythic	—	$173.28	0.07
Llanowar Elves	mythic	—	$197.05	0.07
Muldrotha, the Gravetide	mythic	—	$60.28	0.07
Progenitus	mythic	—	$33.77	0.07
Day of Judgment	mythic	—	$78.44	0.07
Herald of Eternal Dawn	mythic	—	$170.68	0.07
Kaito, Cunning Infiltrator	mythic	—	$64.96	0.07
Think Twice	mythic	—	$82.94	0.07
Bloodthirsty Conqueror	mythic	—	$308.39	0.07
Twinflame Tyrant	mythic	—	$429.37	0.07
Doubling Season	mythic	—	$544.88	0.07
Llanowar Elves	mythic	—	$708.41	0.07
Muldrotha, the Gravetide	mythic	—	$231.96	0.07
Progenitus	mythic	—	$138.81	0.07

Foundations Play Booster Box

Foundations Play Booster Box

EV by Slot

Top 10 Chase Cards

All Rares & Mythics

Methodology

How is EV calculated?

Where do prices come from?

What's included in the calculation?

How accurate is this?