What is the expected value of a Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Box?

The current expected value of opening a Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Box is $172.81, compared to a retail price of $130. This gives an EV ratio of 1.33x.

Is the Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Box worth opening?

Based on current card prices, opening this box has a positive expected value of +$42.81.

Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Box

1.33x

EV $172.81MSRP $130+$42.81

Lorwyn Eclipsed

Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Box

1.33x

Worth Opening

EV Ratio

Box EV

$172.81

Retail

$130

P/L

+$42.81

Packs

Scryfall/TCGPlayer · 4/7/2026

EV by Slot

Slot	Per-Pack	Box Total	Share
Rare / Mythic	$2.32	$83.43	48%
Wildcard	$0.78	$27.96	16%
Foil (any rarity)	$1.71	$61.43	36%
Total		$172.81	100%

Top 10 Chase Cards

Chronicle of Victory

$26.22

+$1.96 EV

Hexing Squelcher

$25.40

+$5.99 EV

Chronicle of Victory

$22.09

+$1.65 EV

Bitterbloom Bearer

mythic~0.07/box

$20.21

+$1.51

Hexing Squelcher

rare~0.24/box

$16.26

+$3.84

Bitterbloom Bearer

mythic~0.07/box

$16.03

+$1.20

Steam Vents // Steam Vents

rare~0.24/box

$15.80

+$3.73

Moonshadow

mythic~0.07/box

$15.11

+$1.13

Bloom Tender

mythic~0.07/box

$14.31

+$1.07

Blood Crypt // Blood Crypt

rare~0.24/box

$13.38

+$3.16

All Rares & Mythics

Name	Rarity	Price	Foil	/Box
Chronicle of Victory	mythic	$26.22	$37.89	0.07
Hexing Squelcher	rare	$25.40	$52.38	0.24
Chronicle of Victory	mythic	$22.09	$25.58	0.07
Bitterbloom Bearer	mythic	$20.21	$40.62	0.07
Hexing Squelcher	rare	$16.26	$20.88	0.24
Bitterbloom Bearer	mythic	$16.03	$20.11	0.07
Steam Vents // Steam Vents	rare	$15.80	$26.24	0.24
Moonshadow	mythic	$15.11	$18.77	0.07
Bloom Tender	mythic	$14.31	$17.40	0.07
Blood Crypt // Blood Crypt	rare	$13.38	$21.29	0.24
Formidable Speaker	rare	$13.08	$34.77	0.24
Hallowed Fountain // Hallowed Fountain	rare	$12.97	$24.21	0.24
Overgrown Tomb // Overgrown Tomb	rare	$12.65	$21.60	0.24
Wistfulness	mythic	$12.61	$24.30	0.07
Moonshadow	mythic	$12.46	$14.72	0.07
Bloom Tender	mythic	$12.08	$13.48	0.07
Deceit	mythic	$11.93	$20.30	0.07
Temple Garden // Temple Garden	rare	$11.88	$16.83	0.24
Eirdu, Carrier of Dawn // Isilu, Carrier of Twilight	mythic	$11.14	$25.83	0.07
Steam Vents	rare	$10.12	$12.47	0.24
Formidable Speaker	rare	$9.94	$15.78	0.24
Blood Crypt	rare	$9.44	$9.39	0.24
Overgrown Tomb	rare	$8.02	$8.68	0.24
Hallowed Fountain	rare	$7.65	$8.19	0.24
Temple Garden	rare	$7.43	$8.61	0.24
Wistfulness	mythic	$7.27	$10.66	0.07
Vibrance	mythic	$6.31	$16.98	0.07
Mirrorform	mythic	$5.99	$11.53	0.07
Deceit	mythic	$5.79	$8.94	0.07
Emptiness	mythic	$5.58	$10.19	0.07
Soul Immolation	mythic	$5.30	$8.30	0.07
Eirdu, Carrier of Dawn // Isilu, Carrier of Twilight	mythic	$5.10	$6.17	0.07
Twilight Diviner	rare	$4.62	$9.82	0.24
High Perfect Morcant	rare	$4.53	$10.84	0.24
Vibrance	mythic	$4.39	$7.54	0.07
Ajani, Outland Chaperone	mythic	$3.93	$7.55	0.07
Aurora Awakener	mythic	$3.69	$6.94	0.07
Morningtide's Light	mythic	$3.47	$7.25	0.07
Glen Elendra's Answer	mythic	$3.41	$7.05	0.07
Sapling Nursery	rare	$3.40	$5.40	0.24
Mirrorform	mythic	$3.21	$6.73	0.07
Mirrormind Crown	rare	$2.85	$3.20	0.24
Spinerock Tyrant	mythic	$2.84	$4.54	0.07
Soul Immolation	mythic	$2.69	$8.21	0.07
Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound	rare	$2.60	$7.01	0.24
Oko, Lorwyn Liege // Oko, Shadowmoor Scion	mythic	$2.42	$6.90	0.07
Brigid, Clachan's Heart // Brigid, Doun's Mind	rare	$2.38	$6.81	0.24
Mutable Explorer	rare	$2.28	$5.68	0.24
Bloodline Bidding	rare	$2.24	$2.35	0.24
Sunderflock	rare	$2.23	$4.82	0.24
Bloodline Bidding	rare	$2.23	$2.95	0.24
Celestial Reunion	mythic	$2.21	$4.29	0.07
Doran, Besieged by Time	rare	$2.08	$6.22	0.24
Loch Mare	mythic	$2.07	$4.30	0.07
Catharsis	mythic	$2.05	$4.62	0.07
Ajani, Outland Chaperone	mythic	$2.05	$2.05	0.07
Glen Elendra's Answer	mythic	$2.05	$4.53	0.07
Morningtide's Light	mythic	$1.98	$4.84	0.07
High Perfect Morcant	rare	$1.91	$2.44	0.24
Aurora Awakener	mythic	$1.90	$2.36	0.07
Emptiness	mythic	$1.89	$2.76	0.07
Curious Colossus	mythic	$1.88	$3.78	0.07
Collective Inferno	rare	$1.88	$2.31	0.24
Collective Inferno	rare	$1.81	$1.86	0.24
Twilight Diviner	rare	$1.80	$4.88	0.24
Mirrormind Crown	rare	$1.60	$3.90	0.24
Maralen, Fae Ascendant	rare	$1.59	$7.56	0.24
Champions of the Perfect	rare	$1.54	$2.87	0.24
Scuzzback Scrounger	rare	$1.41	$2.38	0.24
Oko, Lorwyn Liege // Oko, Shadowmoor Scion	mythic	$1.34	$3.01	0.07
Sapling Nursery	rare	$1.29	$2.69	0.24
Sunderflock	rare	$1.23	$3.72	0.24
Spinerock Tyrant	mythic	$1.20	$3.24	0.07
Loch Mare	mythic	$1.19	$1.89	0.07
Grub, Storied Matriarch // Grub, Notorious Auntie	rare	$1.18	$2.31	0.24
Abigale, Eloquent First-Year	rare	$1.14	$2.78	0.24
Selfless Safewright	rare	$1.11	$1.98	0.24
Mutable Explorer	rare	$1.09	$2.80	0.24
Ashling's Command	rare	$1.09	$2.38	0.24
Curious Colossus	mythic	$1.06	$1.45	0.07
Celestial Reunion	mythic	$1.06	$1.53	0.07
Kinscaer Sentry	rare	$1.04	$1.74	0.24
Champions of the Perfect	rare	$1.02	$0.89	0.24
Flitterwing Nuisance	rare	$0.96	$1.86	0.24
Harmonized Crescendo	rare	$0.95	$1.21	0.24
Tam, Mindful First-Year	rare	$0.90	$2.31	0.24
Catharsis	mythic	$0.84	$1.56	0.07
Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound	rare	$0.79	$1.89	0.24
Glen Elendra Guardian	rare	$0.79	$1.64	0.24
Mornsong Aria	rare	$0.79	$1.64	0.24
Kirol, Attentive First-Year	rare	$0.78	$1.50	0.24
Lavaleaper	rare	$0.76	$1.94	0.24
Dawnhand Dissident	rare	$0.75	$2.32	0.24
Meek Attack	mythic	$0.75	$1.77	0.07
Harmonized Crescendo	rare	$0.74	$1.41	0.24
Adept Watershaper	rare	$0.72	$1.98	0.24
Champion of the Path	rare	$0.72	$1.44	0.24
Adept Watershaper	rare	$0.69	$0.67	0.24
Selfless Safewright	rare	$0.66	$2.03	0.24
Dream Harvest	rare	$0.66	$1.88	0.24
Kinscaer Sentry	rare	$0.64	$1.27	0.24
Bre of Clan Stoutarm	rare	$0.63	$1.69	0.24
Figure of Fable	rare	$0.62	$0.84	0.24
Rhys, the Evermore	rare	$0.59	$1.41	0.24
Glen Elendra Guardian	rare	$0.59	$1.16	0.24
Sygg, Wanderwine Wisdom // Sygg, Wanderbrine Shield	rare	$0.56	$1.66	0.24
Deepway Navigator	rare	$0.55	$0.71	0.24
Spry and Mighty	rare	$0.54	$0.98	0.24
Abigale, Eloquent First-Year	rare	$0.52	$0.80	0.24
Doran, Besieged by Time	rare	$0.52	$0.71	0.24
Rimefire Torque	rare	$0.52	$0.59	0.24
Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist	rare	$0.51	$0.72	0.24
Bristlebane Battler	rare	$0.50	$1.15	0.24
Trystan's Command	rare	$0.48	$1.18	0.24
Trystan, Callous Cultivator // Trystan, Penitent Culler	rare	$0.46	$0.64	0.24
Brigid, Clachan's Heart // Brigid, Doun's Mind	rare	$0.46	$0.82	0.24
Meek Attack	mythic	$0.44	$1.00	0.07
Gloom Ripper	rare	$0.44	$1.20	0.24
Dawnhand Dissident	rare	$0.44	$0.66	0.24
Tam, Mindful First-Year	rare	$0.42	$1.15	0.24
Grub's Command	rare	$0.42	$0.59	0.24
Scuzzback Scrounger	rare	$0.41	$1.14	0.24
Trystan's Command	rare	$0.41	$0.36	0.24
Winnowing	rare	$0.41	$0.58	0.24
Ashling's Command	rare	$0.39	$0.36	0.24
Kirol, Attentive First-Year	rare	$0.39	$0.48	0.24
Champion of the Path	rare	$0.36	$0.46	0.24
Bristlebane Battler	rare	$0.36	$0.39	0.24
Dream Harvest	rare	$0.36	$0.51	0.24
Goliath Daydreamer	rare	$0.36	$0.83	0.24
Sygg's Command	rare	$0.36	$0.66	0.24
Kinbinding	rare	$0.35	$0.75	0.24
Disruptor of Currents	rare	$0.35	$0.53	0.24
Sanar, Innovative First-Year	rare	$0.35	$0.54	0.24
Rimefire Torque	rare	$0.35	$0.40	0.24
Grub, Storied Matriarch // Grub, Notorious Auntie	rare	$0.34	$0.66	0.24
Taster of Wares	rare	$0.34	$0.64	0.24
Shadow Urchin	rare	$0.34	$0.41	0.24
Lavaleaper	rare	$0.33	$2.04	0.24
Spry and Mighty	rare	$0.33	$0.36	0.24
Maralen, Fae Ascendant	rare	$0.33	$1.09	0.24
Champion of the Weird	rare	$0.33	$0.47	0.24
Winnowing	rare	$0.33	$0.72	0.24
Mornsong Aria	rare	$0.32	$0.69	0.24
Raiding Schemes	rare	$0.32	$0.35	0.24
Rhys, the Evermore	rare	$0.32	$0.38	0.24
Brigid's Command	rare	$0.32	$0.45	0.24
Gloom Ripper	rare	$0.31	$0.35	0.24
Kinbinding	rare	$0.31	$0.51	0.24
Bre of Clan Stoutarm	rare	$0.31	$0.44	0.24
Sanar, Innovative First-Year	rare	$0.31	$0.41	0.24
Flitterwing Nuisance	rare	$0.31	$0.80	0.24
Champion of the Weird	rare	$0.31	$0.30	0.24
Grub's Command	rare	$0.30	$0.33	0.24
Slumbering Walker	rare	$0.30	$0.36	0.24
Sygg, Wanderwine Wisdom // Sygg, Wanderbrine Shield	rare	$0.30	$0.49	0.24
Champions of the Shoal	rare	$0.29	$0.51	0.24
Raiding Schemes	rare	$0.29	$0.56	0.24
Goliath Daydreamer	rare	$0.28	$0.43	0.24
Figure of Fable	rare	$0.28	$0.36	0.24
Shadow Urchin	rare	$0.27	$0.35	0.24
Sygg's Command	rare	$0.27	$0.40	0.24
Taster of Wares	rare	$0.26	$0.27	0.24
Trystan, Callous Cultivator // Trystan, Penitent Culler	rare	$0.26	$0.34	0.24
Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist	rare	$0.26	$0.37	0.24
Disruptor of Currents	rare	$0.26	$0.33	0.24
Champions of the Shoal	rare	$0.24	$0.35	0.24
Brigid's Command	rare	$0.23	$0.27	0.24
End-Blaze Epiphany	rare	$0.22	$0.35	0.24
Champion of the Clachan	rare	$0.20	$0.31	0.24
End-Blaze Epiphany	rare	$0.19	$0.27	0.24
Slumbering Walker	rare	$0.19	$0.30	0.24
Champion of the Clachan	rare	$0.19	$0.27	0.24
Deepway Navigator	rare	$0.18	$0.32	0.24
Bitterbloom Bearer	mythic	—	—	0.07
Winnowing	mythic	—	$11.70	0.07
Glen Elendra Guardian	mythic	—	$8.23	0.07
Harmonized Crescendo	mythic	—	$13.62	0.07
Bloodline Bidding	mythic	—	$11.68	0.07
Moonshadow	mythic	—	$36.50	0.07
Collective Inferno	mythic	—	$13.36	0.07
Meek Attack	mythic	—	$2.85	0.07
Spinerock Tyrant	mythic	—	$13.44	0.07
Bloom Tender	mythic	—	$59.59	0.07
Selfless Safewright	mythic	—	$16.00	0.07
Winnowing	mythic	—	$85.03	0.07
Glen Elendra Guardian	mythic	—	$64.45	0.07
Harmonized Crescendo	mythic	—	$69.13	0.07
Bloodline Bidding	mythic	—	$58.13	0.07
Moonshadow	mythic	—	$161.24	0.07
Collective Inferno	mythic	—	$66.80	0.07
Meek Attack	mythic	—	$52.40	0.07
Spinerock Tyrant	mythic	—	$99.51	0.07
Bloom Tender	mythic	—	$339.43	0.07
Selfless Safewright	mythic	—	$93.65	0.07
Kinbinding	rare	—	$0.31	0.24
Harmonized Crescendo	rare	—	$0.51	0.24

Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Box

Lorwyn Eclipsed Play Booster Box

EV by Slot

Top 10 Chase Cards

All Rares & Mythics

Methodology

How is EV calculated?

Where do prices come from?

What's included in the calculation?

How accurate is this?