What is the expected value of a Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box?

The current expected value of opening a Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box is $248.51, compared to a retail price of $130. This gives an EV ratio of 1.91x.

Is the Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box worth opening?

Based on current card prices, opening this box has a positive expected value of +$118.51.

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box

1.91x

EV $248.51MSRP $130+$118.51

Tarkir: Dragonstorm

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box

1.91x

Worth Opening

EV Ratio

Box EV

$248.51

Retail

$130

P/L

+$118.51

Packs

Scryfall/TCGPlayer · 5/21/2026

Amazon

EV by Slot

Slot	Per-Pack	Box Total	Share
Rare / Mythic	$1.86	$67.11	27%
Wildcard	$1.16	$41.89	17%
Foil (any rarity)	$3.88	$139.52	56%
Total		$248.51	100%

Top 10 Chase Cards

Elspeth, Storm Slayer

$42.37

+$3.96 EV

Ugin, Eye of the Storms // Ugin, Eye of the Storms

$41.67

+$3.90 EV

Mox Jasper

$21.42

+$2.00 EV

Voice of Victory

rare~0.37/box

$20.75

+$7.60

Betor, Kin to All

mythic~0.09/box

$20.74

+$1.94

Craterhoof Behemoth

mythic~0.09/box

$20.64

+$1.93

Mox Jasper

mythic~0.09/box

$14.71

+$1.38

Dracogenesis

mythic~0.09/box

$14.45

+$1.35

Betor, Kin to All

mythic~0.09/box

$13.78

+$1.29

Mistrise Village

rare~0.37/box

$10.65

+$3.90

All Rares & Mythics

Name	Rarity	Price	Foil	/Box
Elspeth, Storm Slayer	mythic	$42.37	$49.94	0.09
Ugin, Eye of the Storms // Ugin, Eye of the Storms	mythic	$41.67	$45.22	0.09
Mox Jasper	mythic	$21.42	$39.91	0.09
Voice of Victory	rare	$20.75	$33.99	0.37
Betor, Kin to All	mythic	$20.74	$34.85	0.09
Craterhoof Behemoth	mythic	$20.64	$23.58	0.09
Mox Jasper	mythic	$14.71	$16.34	0.09
Dracogenesis	mythic	$14.45	$16.81	0.09
Betor, Kin to All	mythic	$13.78	$20.85	0.09
Mistrise Village	rare	$10.65	$17.02	0.37
Mistrise Village	rare	$8.96	$9.28	0.37
Neriv, Heart of the Storm	mythic	$7.75	$17.78	0.09
Ureni, the Song Unending	mythic	$7.59	$11.16	0.09
Ureni, the Song Unending	mythic	$6.78	$11.52	0.09
Nature's Rhythm	rare	$5.85	$14.52	0.37
Call the Spirit Dragons	mythic	$5.84	$8.81	0.09
Neriv, Heart of the Storm	mythic	$5.84	$9.77	0.09
Shiko, Paragon of the Way	mythic	$4.58	$8.24	0.09
Cori-Steel Cutter	rare	$4.40	$6.65	0.37
Stormscale Scion	mythic	$3.97	$6.39	0.09
Herd Heirloom	rare	$3.80	$5.40	0.37
Windcrag Siege	rare	$3.76	$5.31	0.37
Windcrag Siege	rare	$3.75	$3.71	0.37
Shiko, Paragon of the Way	mythic	$3.53	$5.40	0.09
Perennation	mythic	$3.48	$1.01	0.09
Warden of the Grove	rare	$3.18	$5.15	0.37
Ureni, the Song Unending	mythic	$2.85	$3.30	0.09
Neriv, Heart of the Storm	mythic	$2.84	$3.32	0.09
Clarion Conqueror // Clarion Conqueror	rare	$2.83	$5.47	0.37
Frostcliff Siege	rare	$2.73	$5.36	0.37
All-Out Assault	mythic	$2.71	$3.57	0.09
Marang River Regent // Coil and Catch // Marang River Regent	rare	$2.58	$4.77	0.37
Smile at Death	mythic	$2.57	$4.09	0.09
Maelstrom of the Spirit Dragon	rare	$2.29	$2.31	0.37
Maelstrom of the Spirit Dragon	rare	$2.16	$5.18	0.37
Winternight Stories	rare	$2.00	$4.12	0.37
Teval, Arbiter of Virtue	mythic	$1.97	$5.39	0.09
Qarsi Revenant	rare	$1.82	$2.48	0.37
Bloomvine Regent // Claim Territory // Bloomvine Regent	rare	$1.76	$2.80	0.37
Magmatic Hellkite // Magmatic Hellkite	rare	$1.75	$4.39	0.37
Temur Battlecrier	rare	$1.71	$3.24	0.37
Teval, Arbiter of Virtue	mythic	$1.67	$5.08	0.09
Dragonfire Blade	rare	$1.66	$3.10	0.37
Rot-Curse Rakshasa	mythic	$1.64	$2.04	0.09
Jeskai Revelation	mythic	$1.62	$4.04	0.09
Dragonback Assault	mythic	$1.61	$2.37	0.09
Dragonfire Blade	rare	$1.31	$1.63	0.37
Cori Mountain Monastery	rare	$1.28	$1.90	0.37
Shiko, Paragon of the Way	mythic	$1.24	$2.07	0.09
Tersa Lightshatter	rare	$1.23	$1.69	0.37
Hollowmurk Siege	rare	$1.22	$1.91	0.37
Temur Battlecrier	rare	$1.18	$1.83	0.37
Taigam, Master Opportunist	mythic	$1.18	$1.66	0.09
Stadium Headliner	rare	$0.99	$1.03	0.37
Death Begets Life	mythic	$0.94	$0.98	0.09
Scavenger Regent // Exude Toxin // Scavenger Regent	rare	$0.94	$1.80	0.37
Magmatic Hellkite	rare	$0.78	$1.86	0.37
Mardu Siegebreaker	rare	$0.78	$1.65	0.37
Awaken the Honored Dead	rare	$0.71	$1.79	0.37
Dalkovan Encampment	rare	$0.69	$1.31	0.37
Sarkhan, Dragon Ascendant	rare	$0.63	$1.03	0.37
Sage of the Skies	rare	$0.59	$0.79	0.37
Dragonologist	rare	$0.50	$1.21	0.37
Barrensteppe Siege	rare	$0.46	$0.69	0.37
Great Arashin City	rare	$0.46	$0.50	0.37
Mardu Siegebreaker	rare	$0.42	$0.57	0.37
Avenger of the Fallen	rare	$0.42	$0.75	0.37
Inevitable Defeat	rare	$0.42	$0.84	0.37
Glacierwood Siege	rare	$0.42	$0.74	0.37
Naga Fleshcrafter	rare	$0.41	$0.92	0.37
Surrak, Elusive Hunter	rare	$0.41	$1.14	0.37
Kotis, the Fangkeeper	rare	$0.41	$1.13	0.37
Zurgo, Thunder's Decree	rare	$0.41	$0.62	0.37
Zurgo, Thunder's Decree	rare	$0.39	$0.38	0.37
Dalkovan Encampment	rare	$0.39	$0.42	0.37
Eshki Dragonclaw	rare	$0.39	$0.46	0.37
Kishla Village	rare	$0.39	$0.73	0.37
Cori Mountain Monastery	rare	$0.38	$0.40	0.37
Sidisi, Regent of the Mire	rare	$0.38	$0.50	0.37
Fangkeeper's Familiar	rare	$0.38	$0.45	0.37
United Battlefront	rare	$0.37	$0.61	0.37
Teval, Arbiter of Virtue	mythic	$0.36	$0.68	0.09
Perennation	mythic	$0.35	$0.76	0.09
Lasyd Prowler	rare	$0.34	$0.33	0.37
Lotuslight Dancers	rare	$0.34	$0.38	0.37
Kotis, the Fangkeeper	rare	$0.33	$0.43	0.37
Flamehold Grappler	rare	$0.33	$0.45	0.37
Great Arashin City	rare	$0.32	$0.38	0.37
The Sibsig Ceremony	rare	$0.31	$0.42	0.37
Felothar, Dawn of the Abzan	rare	$0.31	$0.58	0.37
Roar of Endless Song	rare	$0.31	$0.39	0.37
Songcrafter Mage	rare	$0.29	$0.50	0.37
Lotuslight Dancers	rare	$0.27	$0.35	0.37
New Way Forward	rare	$0.27	$0.30	0.37
Kishla Village	rare	$0.27	$0.31	0.37
Ambling Stormshell	rare	$0.27	$0.48	0.37
Sinkhole Surveyor	rare	$0.27	$0.42	0.37
Rediscover the Way	rare	$0.27	$0.42	0.37
Revival of the Ancestors	rare	$0.26	$0.36	0.37
Yathan Roadwatcher	rare	$0.25	$0.26	0.37
Thunder of Unity	rare	$0.25	$0.44	0.37
New Way Forward	rare	$0.24	$0.39	0.37
Thunder of Unity	rare	$0.23	$0.28	0.37
Anafenza, Unyielding Lineage	rare	$0.23	$0.38	0.37
Narset, Jeskai Waymaster	rare	$0.22	$0.32	0.37
Songcrafter Mage	rare	$0.20	$0.29	0.37
Severance Priest	rare	$0.19	$0.22	0.37
Narset, Jeskai Waymaster	rare	$0.18	$0.33	0.37
Stillness in Motion	rare	$0.18	$0.32	0.37
Severance Priest	rare	$0.18	$0.27	0.37
Rediscover the Way	rare	$0.14	$0.22	0.37
Revival of the Ancestors	rare	$0.13	$0.25	0.37
Roar of Endless Song	rare	$0.11	$0.26	0.37
Yathan Roadwatcher	rare	$0.09	$0.14	0.37
Ugin, Eye of the Storms	mythic	—	$103.13	0.09
Clarion Conqueror	mythic	—	$23.41	0.09
Elspeth, Storm Slayer	mythic	—	$92.24	0.09
Dracogenesis	mythic	—	$30.10	0.09
Sarkhan, Dragon Ascendant	mythic	—	$5.46	0.09
Craterhoof Behemoth	mythic	—	$58.63	0.09
All-Out Assault	mythic	—	$9.71	0.09
Death Begets Life	mythic	—	$4.27	0.09
Narset, Jeskai Waymaster	mythic	—	$3.25	0.09
Skirmish Rhino	mythic	—	$2.17	0.09
Ugin, Eye of the Storms	mythic	—	$444.69	0.09
Clarion Conqueror	mythic	—	$83.60	0.09
Elspeth, Storm Slayer	mythic	—	$294.54	0.09
Dracogenesis	mythic	—	$107.07	0.09
Sarkhan, Dragon Ascendant	mythic	—	$40.33	0.09
Craterhoof Behemoth	mythic	—	$211.27	0.09
All-Out Assault	mythic	—	$45.59	0.09
Death Begets Life	mythic	—	$27.71	0.09
Narset, Jeskai Waymaster	mythic	—	$33.12	0.09
Skirmish Rhino	mythic	—	$18.94	0.09
Mox Jasper	mythic	—	$1415.97	0.09
Temur Battlecrier	rare	—	$0.62	0.37
Qarsi Revenant	rare	—	$1.11	0.37

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box

EV by Slot

Top 10 Chase Cards

All Rares & Mythics

Methodology

How is EV calculated?

Where do prices come from?

What's included in the calculation?

How accurate is this?